Wednesday, 1 October 2014

Guess What? The Pre-Season Doesn't Matter

I looked at NHL team's goal differential in the pre-season and how they went on to do, by goal differential in the regular season. I found very little evidence of correlation between the two.

Last seasons edition of the New York Rangers had a calamitous 29% goal differential before going on to the Stanley Cup Final, while the Sabres had a 56% differential going into their not-so-great campaign. 

You probably already knew that you shouldn't take much away from your team's performance in the pre-season, but now you have the evidence!

For those who are interested, here's some more statistical information on the model:

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